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Wi-Fi threatens carriers' data revenue: analysts

Wi-Fi threatens carriers' data revenue: analysts

By:  Rafael Ruffolo  On: 07 Nov 2007 For: ComputerWorld Canada Creator

Harmony Mobile CEO alleges Rogers Wireless is concerned a Wi-Fi-enabled data device would hurt revenue, while an Info-Tech analyst says carriers are “scared to death” of fixed-mobile convergence

The dual-mode, Wi-Fi enabled BlackBerry 8820 has been out for several months, but carriers such as Rogers Wireless have not answered the call from consumers, according to the president of another Toronto-based mobile operator.

Despite the media attention attained by Apple’s iPhone, Harmony Mobile CEO Jonathan Richards said the 8820 – the first BlackBerry to offer integrated Wi-Fi – has greater relevance to the RIM-crazed Canadian market than the iPhone does. He added the reason Rogers did not offer the GSM/Wi-Fi enabled device is due to the threat it could pose to its high-value data revenue.

“It would cannibalize its high-value data revenue,” Richards said. “On the BlackBerry side alone, Rogers’s plans start out anywhere from $25 for a couple of MB, to up to $200 for an unlimited plan.” These high data rates, he said, would be wiped out for users connecting on Wi-Fi access points.

The three major wireless carriers -- including Bell Mobility, Rogers Wireless and Telus Mobility -- declined to comment on this story citing that decisions around specific products – in this case being the BlackBerry 8820 – are considered competitive information.

Rogers’ data rates have been in the media spotlight after the iPhone’s delayed arrival to Canada. The iPhone hits Europe this week, with services plans starting at roughly $70 per month. According to Rogers current data fees, a similar offering would cost its customers at least double that price.

Richards cited Rogers’ third quarter numbers, posted last week, which indicates a 20 per cent year-over-year increase in users, as well as the highest Average Revenue Per User (ARPU) in Canada’s wireless industry.

“If something were to happen to damage Rogers’ ARPU numbers and the revenue goes down, the stock would be degraded and so the money to maintain operations and advertising becomes more expensive to it,” Richards said. “Also, keep in mind the fastest growing portion of operator revenue right now is in the data space.”

According to Richards, Voice over Internet Protocol (VoIP) is becoming more of a key strategy of telephony integration for companies such as Microsoft and RIM. And it appears, he said, that software vendors and carriers are going to continue to butt heads over this issue in the future.

“But, we all know how that worked out the last time it happened and what resulted was the creation of the Internet,” Richards said. “If land-line operators had their choice back in the mid-90s, they would not have permitted the Internet to grow. Now they’re trying to claw back in the whole net neutrality debate, so really the same things could be happening in the wireless space.”

Richards said his company, Harmony Mobile, has been told by a variety of handset vendors, including Nokia, that Rogers wants to avoid VoIP over Wi-Fi right now.

“You will note that Rogers carried the Nokia E62 phone under its Fido brand,” Richards said. “Rogers pressured Nokia to remove the Session Initiation Protocol (SIP) stack and the Wi-Fi radio in its E61 model and basically created a “brain-dead” version of that phone.”


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Rafael Ruffolo Rafael Ruffolo was a senior writer for ComputerWorld Canada from 2006 to 2011. He was the winner of a Kenneth R. Wilson award for business journalism in 2009.

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