Oracle deal is precursor to a deluge, says ex-CFO

A former high-ranking Oracle Corp. executive recently said the PeopleSoft deal is unlikely to have a big impact on the market, and that his former employer’s buying spree has likely just begun.

“My prediction is this is the start of a whole binge of acquisitions,” said Jeff Walker, CTO of TenFold Corp, a Salt Lake City application development company and a founder of Oracle’s applications division before he left the company in 1991. Walker said speculation that Oracle is merely seeking to eliminate a competitor by buying PeopleSoft isn’t a motivating factor for the company’s CEO, Larry Ellison

“Larry used to say ‘I love applications deals,’ and the reason is because when someone would buy a suite of applications…it is obvious which database [they] are going to buy,” Walker said.

Oracle finds itself in a-tightening race with IBM Corp.’s DB2 and Microsoft Corp.’s SQL Server database software products. But the merger won’t change much. “SAP, PeopleSoft and Oracle all sell basically the same thing,” he said. Though, admittedly, “this acquisition is going to make it harder for those PeopleSoft customers to do business with IBM…(since) a lot of customers prefer to do business with one vendor.”

Walker also has an idea of what the next target might be. “It would be really interesting to have Oracle buy Siebel (Systems Inc.) and then have Larry anoint Tom (Siebel, the company’s CEO) as the heir apparent,” he said. “They are ferocious enemies, but they are very similar too…and at one time they were very close friends.”

During a conference call with reporters, Charles Phillips, Oracle’s president, avoided responding to the Siebel question by saying, “we have said that we are looking at multiple acquisitions (but) in the short terms we probably can’t do anything big. We want to make sure this one works well.” When queried how long it will take before Oracle knows whether the PeopleSoft acquisition has worked, he said, “I think we need at least a couple quarters.”

One Canadian analyst said it is in a customer’s best interest to pay close attention to all of the announcements coming from Oracle. “I think that…any CIO or business leader who has made a commitment to PeopleSoft or JD Edwards applications, one thing they want to understand is…what does this mean for me?” said Stephen Graham, group vice-president software business strategies with IDC Canada Ltd. in Toronto. “Any end user wants to make sure they understand clearly what the roadmap is going to be.”

If Oracle wants PeopleSoft customers upgrade or migrate, the company has to be very clear in its intentions. “Uncertainly will definitely delay an upgrade…(so) it behooves Oracle to get that roadmap in the hands of customers as soon as possible,” he said.

At Oracle’s OpenWorld conference last week (before the merger was a done deal), Patricia Dues, project officer at the City of Las Vegas and president of the Oracle Applications Users Group (OAUG), said the deal would be a win-win.

“We see it as a positive. A large number of our Oracle applications users also own PeopleSoft,” she said. Also, “we’re here as OAUG to help them with the user group model. The way they operate today may change, so if they want to meet with us, we’re here to discuss how we set our user group up, to help them get theirs in line.”

The deal that dragged longer than any holiday dinner seems finally ended Monday as Oracle Corp. announced its acquisition of PeopleSoft Inc. early Monday morning during its Q2 2005 earnings conference call.

“Late yesterday evening (Sunday Dec. 12), Oracle and PeopleSoft entered into a definite merger agreement,” said Larry Ellison, Oracle’s CEO. In fact, the deal was signed even as both party’s lawyers circled, ready to proceed with litigation against each other in a Delaware courtroom over the very merger in question. “Over the weekend, however, Oracle was approached by a representative of PeopleSoft,” Ellison said.

PeopleSoft’s board was interested in resolving the litigious nature of their relationship, Ellison said, and the two companies were ultimately able to sign the deal late Sunday night. Part of the deal included both parties dropping their respective lawsuits. At US$26.50 per share, the deal will cost Oracle $10.3 billion

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Jim Love, Chief Content Officer, IT World Canada

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